Of course that can quickly change if the market is trading below key Support levels, because a rejection down from the Quarterly 50% levels (1274.50) can often extend towards lower lows in the following Quarter (January 2012)
Previous Weekly Report
S&P Monthly and Weekly cycles
My view was that the Markets would remain consolidating until December...
but that quickly changed with this week opening below 1209, and continued with a breakout of the Weekly lows @ 1196.
A breakout of the Weekly lows will normally extend towards next week's lows @ 1128 (random support)
And possibly extend towards the December lows, as part of the push from the 4th quarterly 50% level @ 1274.50
1189-1196 resistance