DOW S&P Weekly 29th November 2008



DOW and S&P Monthly

November lows support, and 4th Week reversal back towards the December 50% levels next week.

Recent support will disappear next month and any further weakness and the expectation is to move down into December's lows.

Once those December lows are reached I have the view of global markets making their way into higher prices in early January.



DOW and S&P Weekly

Monday's rally and HOOK bar over the Weekly 50% level.....

Dilernia principle HOOK:- This often results in a higher prices into Friday, confirmed with Tuesday remaining above the Weekly 50% level and the remainder of the days continue higher into Friday.

At this stage whilst US markets are trading above their Weekly 50% level, the bias is to continue towards the Weekly highs which match the December 50% level:- resistance.


DOW 5-day pattern

In last Week's report I was looking for 2 day down move and then a reversal upwards, but when Monday moved above support then the price action was to follow the 5-day pattern higher.

This resulted in the HOOK Weekly pattern on Monday, and the rest of the week was simply trading on the side of support as it follows the 5-day pattern higher each day.

In conclusion:-

I have the view of lower Prices in December and down into December's lows.

But I have a view that in the short term, whilst prices are above the Weekly 50% level then the market path is to continue towards the Weekly highs and December 50% level.

However, being a higher Weekly open I have the view that early next week there should be a 2-day reversal to re-test the Weekly 50% level.

If those 2-day's are able to remain above the Weekly 50% level, then there could be another higher Friday close by next week into the December 50% levels.

If price isn't able to remain above the Weekly 50% level after a re-test of it.... then early December could see bear-trend continue down into December' lows to complete my 2-month pattern.