
Expectation that the S&P 500 should reach the Yearly lows in 2009 sometime in the 2nd quarter of this year, if not sooner.
Once around those lows I would pretty much think that the Market will begin to bottom out, and gradually rise upwards and stablise around those lows.

Global markets are following the Monthly 'thrust' patterns down from the 50% levels and moving into a 2-month wave pattern into lower lows in February....

"In the short-term if US markets move back above their Weekly 50% levels....I would continue to look for the next 5-day pattern to follow the trend down into Next week's Weekly lows."
As per Previous Weekly report, the price action in the both markets played out precisely, and I would continue to look for a move down into next week's lows, as price follows the Monthly trend lower.
However, another pattern that I favour after a 3 week trend, is a Weekly timeframe that actually closes higher, before the trend continues lower the week after that in the following month.
At this stage I can't guarantee a higher Weekly close, because early next week I favour more weakness, but if price stabilises in the first 2 days even without reaching the January lows, I would then see if there is a potential higher close by Friday.
If this is the case, then this sets up more weakness the Week after as price continues down into February's lows.
- Daily Trading Set-ups & Analysis